Vali Nasser: Iran is apparently skeptical of Vance's letter; Will the war scenario repeat itself? Vali Nasser, an international affairs analyst and former adviser to Obama, believes that J.J.'s letter Dee Vance to Mohsen Razai could be related to the US Vice President's political goals for the 2028 presidential election. According to Nasser, knowing that a significant part of the voter base of the "Yourself" movement opposes the war, Vance is trying to show that he is doing everything in his power to prevent a new round of conflict with Iran. Referring to the experience in previous negotiations, he emphasized: Vance negotiated a memorandum of cooperation in the previous round, but a day later Marco Rubio became responsible for its implementation, and only two weeks later the war resumed. Nasser warned that given this history, Tehran would probably look at Washington's new proposal with suspicion and worry about repeating the same scenario from the past.