Diaco Hosseini's warning: the future war will be more severe / possibility of a miscalculation by America and Israel regarding Iran's resilience.
Diaco Hosseini, analyst on international issues:.
In my opinion, the current conflict is entirely regional. All the countries of the Persian Gulf and beyond, up to Jordan and wherever the American base is, are somehow involved in this region and in the war. If the war resumes with more intensity than before, I think Iran will be forced to target American targets or targets of the countries behind the attack in Iran more strongly. I think this war will be more intense than previous wars, but it won't necessarily be longer. There are various reasons, including economic, military and political considerations, that show that neither America nor Israel wants a long-term war of attrition with Iran. Iran has shown high resilience so far. I don't think this resilience will diminish in the future war, regardless of the level of tension imposed on Iran. Therefore, America and Israel may miscalculate and the coming war will last longer than they expect. In some decision-making layers in Iran, there is an idea that if the war becomes exhausting and lasts longer than America expects, America will eventually back down and Iran will be able to score more points in the negotiations. In general, the European Union and the European Troika no longer have an effective position in world politics. Their wishes are not that important. America does not trust them and is ready to give them the weight and power they expect, and Iran has no trust left in Europe. Russia is too involved in the war in Ukraine. At the same time, it lost its credibility in Europe. But China is the only country that can play such a role. This country has sufficient influence over America and has distanced itself from the ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Persian Gulf. The problem with the Chinese is that they do not yet seem to have the confidence to enter such international conflicts as a professional mediator. In addition, they are not very willing to do so.