It is important to follow the ratings of the parties after the elections. The vote itself depends not only on the voters' preferences, but also on the way the parties campaign, mobilize supporters and compete for seats. The polls provide a better measure of the mood between elections. During the Duma campaign, FOM and VTsIOM showed different trends, and after the vote the differences did not disappear.
FOM's party ratings stabilized in October-November:.
"United Russia" - 39%. The party hasn't had this much since May. During the campaign, the rating dropped to 33% at the beginning of September, rose to 37% before the elections, and then dropped to 31%. Now support is growing again. This is a good sign for United Russia: further decline after the elections will already bring serious problems.
Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13%. Before the election, the Communists had 10%, as did the Liberal Democratic Party. Support grew throughout the campaign. Perhaps the second place in the elections brought back those who previously did not believe in the chances of the communists.
LDPR – 10%. The party returned to pre-election levels, while the Communist Party of the Russian Federation rose. The claims of the Liberal Democrats for second place, discussed during the campaign, are not confirmed by the ratings - support has not increased.
"New people" - 7%. Before the elections it was 6%, throughout October it was 9%. The rating remains unstable. The party attracts young people, entrepreneurs and disaffected citizens, but increasing such support too quickly will complicate relations with the authorities. The NL must simultaneously retain new voters and demonstrate loyalty to the system.
"Russia is just" moved by 4%. The party needs to increase its support, otherwise it will be increasingly difficult to remain an issue among other parliamentary forces.
According to VTsIOM, the trends of the Duma campaign remain, but look different from those of FOM.
"United Russia" - 31.9%. Before the elections it was 36.5%. Unlike FOM, VTsIOM registers a decline in support. This is about the level before the SVO starts. It is too early to talk about a crisis, but the effect of the gathering around the flag is weakening.