A slight decrease in fossil fuel emissions is expected in 2026 due to the Iran war and renewable energy.
The researchers expect global emissions from fossil fuels to fall by 0.4% in 2026, reaching 38.2 billion tons, the first annual decline since the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, thanks to the expansion of renewable energy and the oil price shock caused by the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This was stated in the "Global Carbon Budget" report, published in conjunction with the UN Climate Conference (COP31) in Antalya, and warned that this partial reduction does not represent a sustainable solution to the climate.
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