New signs of change in the atmosphere of diplomacy.
Based on the assessment of Kourosh Ahmadi, a former diplomat, in an interview with "The Economist World", given Qatar's intensive mediation and the visit of its prime minister to Washington, the possibility of a return to war between Iran and America in the short term is low.
Donald Trump, due to the failure of the initial military calculations, the internal political expenses and the resistance of public opinion and regional countries, now prefers to follow the strategy of economic pressure, naval blockade and the so-called "iron gate" instead of the military option.
The axes of the possible agreement include stopping the war, lifting the naval blockade and the oil embargo and reopening the Strait of Hormuz; But the main difference between the parties is regarding the priority and delay of the obligations; Tehran demands the implementation of the Islamabad Agreement and the lifting of sanctions before the nuclear negotiations, while Washington conditions the lifting of sanctions on Iran's concessions in the nuclear field.
To resolve this impasse, Qatar proposed a step-by-step and balanced formula for implementing commitments, on which Iran has yet to announce a clear position.
However, even in the event of an impasse in negotiations, continued economic pressures and a blockade would be the most likely future scenario.
Full text.
From the shadow of the attack on the agreement window.
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The official channel of Donya Akhtaz newspaper.