$3,670,000 per BTC - Crazy 10 Year Forecast from Bitwise.
Three scenarios for the development of BTC until 2036:
Bull case: $3.67 million (that's +46% per year, it will take a crazy bubble in the market. too optimistic).
Base case: $1.6 million (here everything matches the average estimate of the power law model).
Bear case: 131 thousand dollars.
But there are big questions about extreme scenarios:
If we take the bearish forecast of $131,000, then it works out to be about 4.6% per year over 10 years. By comparison, the global money supply has grown by about 7% annually since 1960, and Bitcoin, even in its worst four years in history, has grown by about 7.1% per year.
That's why the appropriate minimum is generally considered based on the pace of the S&P 500 since 2010, which is already about $342,000. If the forecast turns out to be lower than this figure, it turns out that the classic broad market has overtaken the crypto. And it's hard to believe that in the long run.