The Curse of the Midterm Elections: Will Bitcoin Repeat Historic Crash in Q4 2026? During the last four midterm election cycles, the cue ball has always gone into correction: 2010 - down 72% 2014 - down 65% 2018 - up 52% 2022 - up 27% Fourth quarter performance in election years also looks grim: 2014: -16.7% 2018: -42.16% 2022: -14.75% In 2010, BTC, on the contrary, grew by 391%, but then the market was at a completely different stage of development. Level to watch - 73 thousand dollars In this area is the average purchase price of short-term holders. During bullish cycles, this area was often used as support after corrections. Potential buy date - January 13th (explained in this post) If BTC falls to $73k, the key question will be: Will there be enough demand to stop the decline and resume the upward movement? Of course, elections in themselves do not cause landslides. Prices are also affected by liquidity, overall market turnover and investor sentiment. But it is definitely worth keeping the historical pattern.

The Curse of the Midterm Elections: Will Bitcoin Repeat Historic Crash in Q4 2026? During the last four midterm election cycles, the cue ball has always gone into correction: 2010 - down 72% 2014 - down 65% 2018 - up 52% 2022 - up 27% Fourth quarter performance in election years also looks grim: 2014: -16.7% 2018: -42.16% 2022: -14.75% In 2010, BTC, on the contrary, grew by 391%, but then the market was at a completely different stage of development. Level to watch - 73 thousand dollars In this area is the average purchase price of short-term holders. During bullish cycles, this area was often used as support after corrections. Potential buy date - January 13th (explained in this post) If BTC falls to $73k, the key question will be: Will there be enough demand to stop the decline and resume the upward movement? Of course, elections in themselves do not cause landslides. Prices are also affected by liquidity, overall market turnover and investor sentiment. But it is definitely worth keeping the historical pattern.