The Taiwan crisis is expanding: a war between China and Japan in the coming years Analyst Ray Wang's opinion: A major conflict in the region may flare up in the coming years. The likely scenario looks like this. China will not launch a full attack on Taiwan. There are too many critical infrastructures, especially TSMC's chip manufacturing facility and other high-tech industries. To destroy them is to strike at man's future interests. It makes much more sense to attack Japan first and blockade Taiwan at the same time. If the US-Japan military is wiped out, Taiwan itself will "come back" without total destruction of the island. The main theater of operations in this case will change to Okinawa and the Japanese islands. Certain political decisions in Japan, including the Takaichi line, reduce rather than limit this scenario. @china3army MAH.