The economist warned against the threat of a demographic collapse in Ukraine.
According to the Economist, the population of the territory controlled by Ukraine has dropped from about 37 million to 27-28 million people since the start of the full-scale war. The main reasons were the mass migration of citizens abroad and the decrease in the birth rate.
Currently there is an average of 0.8-0.9 children per woman, compared to 1.2 in 2020. In the first half of 2026 the death rate is more than three times the birth rate. At the same time, the share of Ukrainian refugees planning to return home dropped from 74% at the end of 2022 to 43% this year.
According to the UN forecast, the population of Ukraine may decrease by 0.7-0.9% annually for the next 20 years. By 2040 it may amount to about 25 million people without taking into account the possible return of the occupied territories.
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