Bitcoin volatility is near 2026 lows. But two big events are coming Bitcoin spent much of October trapped in a relatively narrow range. According to K33, BTCs 28-day realized volatility is down to: 1.2% This is close to the low of: 2026 Bitcoin has recently spent much of its time between: $80,000 - $84,000 while average daily spot trading volume has dropped to: $2.5 billion The quiet market may not last. Two major events in the US are approaching: October 28th the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. November 3rd the US midterm elections. K33 Says Periods of Volatility Compression Often Follow: Volatility Expansion Bitcoin is also increasingly moving in line with tech stocks again. Its correlation with the Nasdaq strengthened after weakening during August and September. Important: low volatility does not tell us which direction Bitcoin is moving. Shank can break: up or down after long compression. And the recent move towards $80k shows that headline risk can quickly return. But structurally, the definition becomes clearer. Bitcoin has spent weeks building pressure in a narrow range. The Fed is coming. The elections are approaching. And traders have reduced risk. Quiet markets don't stay quiet forever. The range is compression. The next move may not be.

Bitcoin volatility is near 2026 lows. But two big events are coming Bitcoin spent much of October trapped in a relatively narrow range. According to K33, BTCs 28-day realized volatility is down to: 1.2% This is close to the low of: 2026 Bitcoin has recently spent much of its time between: $80,000 - $84,000 while average daily spot trading volume has dropped to: $2.5 billion The quiet market may not last. Two major events in the US are approaching: October 28th the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. November 3rd the US midterm elections. K33 Says Periods of Volatility Compression Often Follow: Volatility Expansion Bitcoin is also increasingly moving in line with tech stocks again. Its correlation with the Nasdaq strengthened after weakening during August and September. Important: low volatility does not tell us which direction Bitcoin is moving. Shank can break: up or down after long compression. And the recent move towards $80k shows that headline risk can quickly return. But structurally, the definition becomes clearer. Bitcoin has spent weeks building pressure in a narrow range. The Fed is coming. The elections are approaching. And traders have reduced risk. Quiet markets don't stay quiet forever. The range is compression. The next move may not be.