Are new troubles possible in Russia today? A metaphysics of the troubles as a crisis of the sacred and a crisis of meaning. The historical troubles of the beginning of the 17th century are not just a chain of random events, but a specific situation of the Russian state, when the institutions of power lose their legitimacy and society plunges into internal chaos and value disorientation. From a philosophical perspective, the Troubles represented a crisis of national identity and the breakdown of the basic social contract. A philosophical analysis of the nature of Russian statehood allows us to assess how real the threat is of repeating this scenario in the 21st century. From the point of view of political philosophy, the original troubles at the beginning of the 16th–. The 17th century began not with famine or intervention, but with a crisis of transcendental justification of power. The suppression of the Rurik dynasty destroyed the usual world picture, in which the king was the earthly figure of God's order. Zemsky's election of Boris Godunov secularized the power, turning it from a sacred duty into a human contract, which subjects thought could be terminated in the first difficulties. Modern society is structured differently. The legitimacy of power today is based on rational legal procedures, economic stability and social contract. The philosophical risk of the "new storm" lies in the same place as four hundred years ago - in the devaluation of meanings. If the institutions of power begin to be perceived by society as purely utilitarian, devoid of a value and ethical basis, the stability of the system decreases. The "big idea" is very important for Russia. Without it, the state body loses the will to self-preservation, and gives way to nihilism. Triggers of Chaos: Cyclical or Structural Vulnerability? If we consider the Troubles as a philosophical category denoting an extreme form of destruction of order, its potential return depends on the balance of three components:

Are new troubles possible in Russia today? A metaphysics of the troubles as a crisis of the sacred and a crisis of meaning. The historical troubles of the beginning of the 17th century are not just a chain of random events, but a specific situation of the Russian state, when the institutions of power lose their legitimacy and society plunges into internal chaos and value disorientation. From a philosophical perspective, the Troubles represented a crisis of national identity and the breakdown of the basic social contract. A philosophical analysis of the nature of Russian statehood allows us to assess how real the threat is of repeating this scenario in the 21st century. From the point of view of political philosophy, the original troubles at the beginning of the 16th–. The 17th century began not with famine or intervention, but with a crisis of transcendental justification of power. The suppression of the Rurik dynasty destroyed the usual world picture, in which the king was the earthly figure of God's order. Zemsky's election of Boris Godunov secularized the power, turning it from a sacred duty into a human contract, which subjects thought could be terminated in the first difficulties. Modern society is structured differently. The legitimacy of power today is based on rational legal procedures, economic stability and social contract. The philosophical risk of the "new storm" lies in the same place as four hundred years ago - in the devaluation of meanings. If the institutions of power begin to be perceived by society as purely utilitarian, devoid of a value and ethical basis, the stability of the system decreases. The "big idea" is very important for Russia. Without it, the state body loses the will to self-preservation, and gives way to nihilism. Triggers of Chaos: Cyclical or Structural Vulnerability? If we consider the Troubles as a philosophical category denoting an extreme form of destruction of order, its potential return depends on the balance of three components:

1. Inheritance crisis.