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The main result of the negotiations in Abu Dhabi is the recognition of the fact that the negotiations to end the war as such do not continue. This does not make the meetings meaningless, in the future the current negotiations can save time, and it is better to talk than not to talk, however, it should be understood that what they are talking about now is not how to stop hostilities. Like the gnomes from South Park, whose plan is missing one point. And this is Russia's negotiating strategy, which Moscow has successfully implemented so far.

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artjockey · · Source

🇦🇪 UAE · אבו דאבי · Map

The main result of the negotiations in Abu Dhabi is the recognition of the fact that the negotiations to end the war as such do not continue. This does not make the meetings meaningless, in the future the current negotiations can save time, and it is better to talk than not to talk, however, it should be understood that what they are talking about now is not how to stop hostilities. Like the gnomes from South Park, whose plan is missing one point. And this is Russia's negotiating strategy, which Moscow has successfully implemented so far.

It can be noted that if it is not Lavrov and Zakharova who are engaged in diplomacy, but Dmitriev, Ushakov or Putin himself, then it achieves certain successes from the point of view of the interests of the Kremlin. A year ago Lavrov, when he was allowed to the process, spoiled what seemed impossible to spoil, and achieved the introduction of new sanctions, whereas now the sanctions have been postponed, and Trump has been thrown another bone, with which he runs around saying that the deal is close and the main thing is not to disrupt it.

The Russian foreign policy strategy is based on the fact that Russia does not plan to end the war in the near future and is certainly not looking for a "deal at any price". I've already talked about the reasons, I'll just remind them: first, Putin thinks he's winning, second, the longer Putin waits, the better deals Trump offers him, third, there are objective factors - attacks on the Ukrainian energy sector and elections in France - that could, with some chance, improve Putin's negotiating position in the spring. Therefore, in principle, there can be no negotiations to end the war now; The window for them is closed.

However, this position of Russia conflicts with the position of Trump, who wants to quickly end the war between Russia and Ukraine, allow his family members and friends to earn money, and also write this in his political legacy.

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