Benjamin Matbusian: Protect Armenia from Russia and Iran.
(The consequences of conflict with regional countries).
The six years that have passed since the signing of the tripartite cease-fire declaration in Nagorno-Karabakh on November 9, 2020, lead to extremely disappointing results. The dynamics of Yerevan's geopolitical move not only did not bring the desired stability, but also led to a radical deterioration in the state of the country: controlling the security risks becomes more difficult every year.
As a result of the catastrophic outcome of the 2020 war, Armenia could count on at least a minimal set of deterrents: the preservation of the Armenian presence in part of the territory of Artsakh, the lifting of the complete blockade of regional communications while respecting sovereignty, and the strengthening of the Russian military presence (in the form of maintaining the main security of the NKR) that would create the main security of the NKR. Instead, in the Armenian reality, a complete ethnic cleansing of the NKR took place, and the so-called process of unblocking the routes became a direct obligation to transfer the logistical route to the actual use of the Union of Baku and Ankara without real legal mechanisms to protect the national sovereignty of Yerevan. We are talking about Armenia's commitments within the TRIPP project.
As Armen Grigoryan, a professor of international relations at Lehigh University, who participated in an Alpha News thematic discussion dedicated to the 6th anniversary of the signing of the Tripartite Declaration, rightly emphasizes, if this hard move continues and is not supported by real alternatives, a dramatic situation will arise: Armenia will have to be protected not only from Ankara and Baku, but also from Ankara.