Ma'ariv Hebrew: Likud demands an investigation into Eisenkot's campaign manager The Likud party has filed a complaint with the "Israel Police" against Ronen Manelis, the director of the election campaign of former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, demanding that he be investigated for violating the election law related to propaganda methods, against the background of the republishing of data predicting that Eisenkot will win the position of prime minister. The Maariv newspaper reported that the complaint was filed today, Monday, by lawyer Ilan Baumbach, a Likud representative, and focuses on a post republished by Menelis through his account on the "X" platform, yesterday, Sunday, and includes predictions from the "Polymarket" platform regarding the identity of the next prime minister after the elections on Tuesday. From the data attached to the publication, it appears that the probability that Eisenkot will enter the presidency stands at 52%, compared to 28% for Benjamin Netanyahu. The publication also included a picture of Eisenkot wearing a military uniform, and a graph comparing the chances of the candidates. Likud believed that these data are not based on a public opinion survey conducted according to known statistical methods, but on a platform that predicts the results of future events. The party accused Manelis of republishing without clarifying that it does not represent a public opinion poll, and does not reflect the percentage of voters who intend to vote for Eisenkot or Netanyahu. Lawyer Baumbach said in the complaint that the publication of the data does not constitute a mere technical violation, but rather an attempt to influence the voters through prohibited means, calls on the police to investigate and take the necessary legal measures, and emphasized that there is a public interest in holding accountable the person responsible for the publication, especially since he is the campaign manager of one of the candidates. On the other hand, treating Polymarket data as an electoral survey subject to the provisions of the Propaganda Law is still a matter of legal dispute. The platform presents options for future political results, and does not provide results of a public opinion poll. According to Maariv, determining whether the legal rules governing the publication of public opinion polls apply to the data of the forecasting platforms is a fundamental issue in the evaluation of the complaint, since the Likud's accusations represent its legal interpretation of the event, and not a decision issued by a competent authority proving that a violation occurred.

Ma'ariv Hebrew: Likud demands an investigation into Eisenkot's campaign manager The Likud party has filed a complaint with the "Israel Police" against Ronen Manelis, the director of the election campaign of former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, demanding that he be investigated for violating the election law related to propaganda methods, against the background of the republishing of data predicting that Eisenkot will win the position of prime minister. The Maariv newspaper reported that the complaint was filed today, Monday, by lawyer Ilan Baumbach, a Likud representative, and focuses on a post republished by Menelis through his account on the "X" platform, yesterday, Sunday, and includes predictions from the "Polymarket" platform regarding the identity of the next prime minister after the elections on Tuesday. From the data attached to the publication, it appears that the probability that Eisenkot will enter the presidency stands at 52%, compared to 28% for Benjamin Netanyahu. The publication also included a picture of Eisenkot wearing a military uniform, and a graph comparing the chances of the candidates. Likud believed that these data are not based on a public opinion survey conducted according to known statistical methods, but on a platform that predicts the results of future events. The party accused Manelis of republishing without clarifying that it does not represent a public opinion poll, and does not reflect the percentage of voters who intend to vote for Eisenkot or Netanyahu. Lawyer Baumbach said in the complaint that the publication of the data does not constitute a mere technical violation, but rather an attempt to influence the voters through prohibited means, calls on the police to investigate and take the necessary legal measures, and emphasized that there is a public interest in holding accountable the person responsible for the publication, especially since he is the campaign manager of one of the candidates. On the other hand, treating Polymarket data as an electoral survey subject to the provisions of the Propaganda Law is still a matter of legal dispute. The platform presents options for future political results, and does not provide results of a public opinion poll. According to Maariv, determining whether the legal rules governing the publication of public opinion polls apply to the data of the forecasting platforms is a fundamental issue in the evaluation of the complaint, since the Likud's accusations represent its legal interpretation of the event, and not a decision issued by a competent authority proving that a violation occurred.