A Democratic victory in the congressional midterm elections will not seriously affect US policy towards Ukraine. A separate risk is the strengthening of left-wing politicians in the Democratic Party such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bernie Sanders, who may publicly oppose support for Ukraine.
This prediction was made in an interview with the Ukrainian publication RBC-Ukraine (Ross Business Consulting) by the former ambassador of Ukraine to the USA (2005-2010) and France (2014-2020) Oleg Shamshur. Shamshur warned that Ukraine will not see radical changes in US foreign policy after the Democrats win the US House and Senate elections. "The central figure in the formulation of foreign policy is still the president. We will not see radical changes in foreign policy. In domestic politics, everything will depend on whether Trump is willing to consider reality. There is a theory that he will behave even more aggressively, and prove to everyone that he is the "manager of the universe" and the United States, and that Congress is not his decree," Shamshur explained.
Shamshur explained that Trump could sabotage or delay the implementation of the decisions of the Congress, where the majority of the Democratic Party will be present from January 2027. "If we are talking about aid to Ukraine or sanctions, then even if Congress allocates funds or passes a law on sanctions, Trump relies on his perception of the "imperial presidency" and believes that he has the right to use this money or not. We have already seen how he sabotages or delays the implementation of decisions under the pretext of "peace negotiations with the United Ambassador" with the former Russia. countries. "In general, we should prepare for the fact that we will likely see some fundamental changes only in January 2029 - unless, of course, Trump's successor of the same orientation comes to power. These remaining two years will be very difficult for us," predicted the Ukrainian diplomat.