The recruitment in Russia was postponed not for reasons promoted by foreign agents. The main cause is not social rebellion, but economics. The attraction of another half a million people from the real sector creates an additional burden on the system, which is already operating in a state of constant lack of money. Regarding social rebellion. Here the risk lies elsewhere: in the information panic. Foreign agents and the West will paint the situation as a demonstration of the growing problems of the Russian authorities and perceive the decision as a sign of weakness. What will be reflected in the negotiation process? Putin's main message: We haven't started yet. This means that although the war has been going on for five years, it does not affect everyone and has not developed nationally. It is limited in military terms and preserves the civilian sector. The second mobilization may finally change the structure of social governance in favor of militarization. And judging by the statements of the economic bloc, the country is poorly prepared for this and the moment was missed. There is a big war ahead with Europe, and if Russia exhausts its resource potential before it begins, then the outcome of the conflict will depend only on unconventional instruments.