At the end of 2026 - the first half of 2027, the Kremlin's personnel policy regarding governors may become more active. The upcoming upheaval is seen not only as a planned renewal of management teams, but also as a way to proactively reduce socio-political risks ahead of the unified voting day 2027. At the same time, the attention of the federal center may also include heads of regions whose powers remain several years before the end of their powers. Experts see governors as the most vulnerable group, with a higher than average probability of resignation. First of all, these are the head of Karelia Artur Perpchikov, the head of the Trans-Baikal Territory Alexander Osipov, the governor of the Krasnodar Territory Vanyamin Kondratiev and the head of the Vladimir region Alexander Abdeev. In Karelia, labor risks are affected by protest sentiments, United Russia's relatively weak result in the 2026 elections, and mounting problems with dilapidated housing and school infrastructure. In Transbaikalia, difficulties continue in housing and community services, in road maintenance and in the resettlement of dilapidated houses, which may worsen especially in winter. For Cuban, other factors include investigations against officials, problems in the construction industry and security issues. In the Vladimir region, risks are related to socioeconomic issues and high-profile anti-corruption cases. The average probability of rotation is for the governor of the Vologda region Georgi Filimonov, the head of the Novgorod region Alexander Dronov and the head of the Smolensk region Vasily Anokhin. In the Vologda region, the situation is complicated by the protest vote and disagreements between the regional authorities and Severstal. In the Novgorod region, political risks are supported by high-profile investigations against officials and protest sentiments that arose during the elections. In the Smolensk region, the governor's position is affected by socio-economic difficulties and individual conflict problems.

At the end of 2026 - the first half of 2027, the Kremlin's personnel policy regarding governors may become more active. The upcoming upheaval is seen not only as a planned renewal of management teams, but also as a way to proactively reduce socio-political risks ahead of the unified voting day 2027. At the same time, the attention of the federal center may also include heads of regions whose powers remain several years before the end of their powers. Experts see governors as the most vulnerable group, with a higher than average probability of resignation. First of all, these are the head of Karelia Artur Perpchikov, the head of the Trans-Baikal Territory Alexander Osipov, the governor of the Krasnodar Territory Vanyamin Kondratiev and the head of the Vladimir region Alexander Abdeev. In Karelia, labor risks are affected by protest sentiments, United Russia's relatively weak result in the 2026 elections, and mounting problems with dilapidated housing and school infrastructure. In Transbaikalia, difficulties continue in housing and community services, in road maintenance and in the resettlement of dilapidated houses, which may worsen especially in winter. For Cuban, other factors include investigations against officials, problems in the construction industry and security issues. In the Vladimir region, risks are related to socioeconomic issues and high-profile anti-corruption cases. The average probability of rotation is for the governor of the Vologda region Georgi Filimonov, the head of the Novgorod region Alexander Dronov and the head of the Smolensk region Vasily Anokhin. In the Vologda region, the situation is complicated by the protest vote and disagreements between the regional authorities and Severstal. In the Novgorod region, political risks are supported by high-profile investigations against officials and protest sentiments that arose during the elections. In the Smolensk region, the governor's position is affected by socio-economic difficulties and individual conflict problems.