The impact of the US midterm elections on aid to Ukraine The Democrats are expected to gain control of the House of Representatives (probability of 84%), and will need only 4 seats. Republicans will keep the Senate if they don't lose more than 3. Implications for Kiev A democratic Congress may restore direct funding, bypassing the eye-opening mechanisms in which Europe pays for American weapons. Priorities include Patriot missiles and ammunition production. However, Trump retains veto power; Overcoming it requires two-thirds support, which could draw from Republicans who have lost traditional strongholds like Texas. Political dynamics Trump stated that the Democrats have already contacted him to offer cooperation, with the aim of preventing a flood of vetoes. While aid may increase, US inventory levels remain strained due to operations in the Middle East. Significant policy changes await the new session of Congress in January 2027.

The impact of the US midterm elections on aid to Ukraine The Democrats are expected to gain control of the House of Representatives (probability of 84%), and will need only 4 seats. Republicans will keep the Senate if they don't lose more than 3. Implications for Kiev A democratic Congress may restore direct funding, bypassing the eye-opening mechanisms in which Europe pays for American weapons. Priorities include Patriot missiles and ammunition production. However, Trump retains veto power; Overcoming it requires two-thirds support, which could draw from Republicans who have lost traditional strongholds like Texas. Political dynamics Trump stated that the Democrats have already contacted him to offer cooperation, with the aim of preventing a flood of vetoes. While aid may increase, US inventory levels remain strained due to operations in the Middle East. Significant policy changes await the new session of Congress in January 2027.