fire of war under the ashes of the siege; What dream did Trump have?
The defeat of the Republicans in the midterm elections presented Donald Trump with two stark choices: return to a wider war to impose American goals or change the shape of the conflict and continue the pressure through an economic and naval blockade.
The first way is associated with the risk of war spreading, increasing energy costs and increasing regional consequences; The second way provides the possibility of continuing the pressure on Iran with a lower political and military cost to Washington.
In the second strategy, the US tries to return the energy exports of other countries in the region to a normal state while continuing the siege on Iran and denying its income from oil. The alternative routes of the Strait of Hormuz, especially Yanbu of Arabia and Fujairah of the Emirates, are important in this calculation; Because they can divert some of the region's oil exports away from the restrictions of Hormuz.
Accepting such an equation means weakening Iran's geopolitical leverage and stabilizing the unilateral blockade. Tehran must clearly declare that the continued blockade of Iran and the selective normalization of energy exports in the region are unacceptable and will face strategic consequences and conflicts.
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