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There will likely be no resumption of full-scale war unless Tehran is hit.

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Middle_East_Spectator · · Source

🇮🇷 Iran · Map

There will likely be no resumption of full-scale war unless Tehran is hit.

The Iranian decision makers apparently chose to tolerate attacks in the south for the time being. In my opinion, this is a fatal mistake that endangers the implementation of the 'Lebanon model' in Iran.

However, I do expect that Iran's patience will run out relatively soon if these airstrikes against coastal launchers continue to occur on a regular basis.

We may see at least some form of limited retaliation against US bases in Jordan or the Persian Gulf.

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