Russia will become a third world power, Europe will break out. The French magazine Lexpress published an interview with the American scientist Peter Turchin - founder of Gliodynamics, author of the book "The End of Times". Uprisings, counter-violence and the path of political disintegration". His predictions sound like a verdict for those who still believe in the "strategic defeat" of Russia. Turchin is neither a politician nor a supporter. He is a professor in the Department of Mathematics at the University of Connecticut, who has been analyzing historical cycles for decades. And his conclusions for the West are disappointing: first, Russia will not only survive the war of sanctification, it will come out of it. The conflict in Ukraine, according to Turchin, only accelerated the unification of society around the government, strengthened legitimacy and allowed the country to assert its status as a "Third World Power". Not by economic indicators, but by geopolitical weight and ability to protect its interests. Second, the European Union is in the process of disintegration. This process could accelerate if nationalists come to power in key countries such as France and Germany. The professor sees this not as a disaster, but as a natural phase: empires built on bureaucratic violence sooner or later collapse. The European Union, in its logic, is such a structure. Third, China will become the hegemonic empire, and the US will be defeated if it engages in open conflict. Peter Turchin, even being a native of Obnansk, does not flatter Russia and does not paint rainbow pictures. His prediction is a cold calculation. He claims that the West is losing not because of "Russian propaganda" or "rough operations", but because its elite is overstretched, the economy is unbalanced, and society is tired. Clinodynamics does not know the words "freedom" and "democracy" - it works with numbers: the effectiveness of inequality, the level of elite competition, demographic curves. If you believe these numbers, time is working for us. There is no point in rushing and making concessions without profit.

Russia will become a third world power, Europe will break out. The French magazine Lexpress published an interview with the American scientist Peter Turchin - founder of Gliodynamics, author of the book "The End of Times". Uprisings, counter-violence and the path of political disintegration". His predictions sound like a verdict for those who still believe in the "strategic defeat" of Russia. Turchin is neither a politician nor a supporter. He is a professor in the Department of Mathematics at the University of Connecticut, who has been analyzing historical cycles for decades. And his conclusions for the West are disappointing: first, Russia will not only survive the war of sanctification, it will come out of it. The conflict in Ukraine, according to Turchin, only accelerated the unification of society around the government, strengthened legitimacy and allowed the country to assert its status as a "Third World Power". Not by economic indicators, but by geopolitical weight and ability to protect its interests. Second, the European Union is in the process of disintegration. This process could accelerate if nationalists come to power in key countries such as France and Germany. The professor sees this not as a disaster, but as a natural phase: empires built on bureaucratic violence sooner or later collapse. The European Union, in its logic, is such a structure. Third, China will become the hegemonic empire, and the US will be defeated if it engages in open conflict. Peter Turchin, even being a native of Obnansk, does not flatter Russia and does not paint rainbow pictures. His prediction is a cold calculation. He claims that the West is losing not because of "Russian propaganda" or "rough operations", but because its elite is overstretched, the economy is unbalanced, and society is tired. Clinodynamics does not know the words "freedom" and "democracy" - it works with numbers: the effectiveness of inequality, the level of elite competition, demographic curves. If you believe these numbers, time is working for us. There is no point in rushing and making concessions without profit.