Irfan Kanifard, an analyst on Middle East issues, said that Prince Reza Pahlavi's words about the certainty of the fall of the Islamic Republic highlight the connection between the three factors of the erosion of oppressive power, the collapse of political legitimacy and the breakdown of coherence in the government's command structure.
He added that the weakening of the Islamic Republic's military power alone does not guarantee the change of power, and the combination of external pressure, internal action and the existence of a credible political alternative can determine the path of transition.