000
WTNT55 KNHC 221438.
TDSAT5.
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number 4.
SNM National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102026.
1100 AM AST Thursday, October 22, 2026.
The satellite images this morning testify to this.
Developed a convective zone north of central Josephine,.
Although the convective curvature is smaller than last night.
The dispersion data just obtained indicate that the.
The convective cluster is near or just west of a frontal boundary.
in development. There are satellite power estimates.
Little has changed since the previous warning, and the spread shows.
Winds about 50 kt west of center. the initial intensity.
Remains at 55 kt according to the cyclone strength estimate.
TAFB subtropical zone and the possibility of wind dispersion.
Maximum underestimate. The initial movement is towards the northeast or 040/10 karat. the pictures.
GOES RGB air mass measurements show a moderate to high depression.
high extending from eastern Canada to southwest to.
Northeast United States, and Josephine must accelerate towards the.
Northeast over the next 12-24 hours as this low moves through.
Increases and approaches the cyclone. After about 24 hours,
Josephine should face further east as she sinks herself in.
in the middle of the sea
West latitude. In the forecast path, center.
Josephine.
Will move away from the New England states today and move south.
Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and Saturday. The guide is
again closely grouped, and the new track of the
The forecast is similar to
The previous forecast.
The interaction between Josephine and the videographer mentioned above should cause the cyclone to develop fronts and be.
extratropical during the next 12 hours, and the scattering data.
suggests that this process is already underway. However, this is to be expected.
which intensifies during this transition and Josephine.
will become this low extratropical hurricane strength.
Night and Friday. Dynamic models agree that
Cyclone should steadily weaken after 24 hours, and.
They predict that Giusepin will absorb between 72 and 96 hours, as it may be
We will be absorbed in a new area of low pressure that develops in it
North East. The new power forecast is primarily based on
Global physical models and has only minor adjustments with.
Compared to the last front. The radio forecasts
The wind was also corrected based on forecasts of.
Global models. Since the coastal wind hazards associated with this system.
Covered over the past few days using products that didn't.
Tropical cards issued by local offices of the National Service.
of meteorology, these products will remain in effect until
The threat diminishes and Josephine moves away from the shores of the United States.
United the next day or so.
Forecast positions and maximum winds
INIT 22/1500Z 39.2N 67.3W 55KT 65MPH.
12H 23/000Z 40.5N 64.6W 65 KT 75 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
24H 23/1200Z 42.3N 60.2W 65 KT 75 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
36H 24/000Z 43.4N 56.9W 60 KT 70 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
48H 24/1200Z 43.7N 54.3W 55 KT 65 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
60H 25/000Z 43.9N 50.4W 50 KT 60 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
72H 25/1200Z 43.6N 45.2W 45 KT 50 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
96H 26/1200Z... scattered
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