000
WTNT45 KNHC 221436.
TCDAT5.
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number 4.
National Hurricane Center NWS Miami FL AL102026.
1100 AM AST Thursday, October 22, 2026.
Satellite images this morning indicate a convective zone.
developed north of central Josephine, although the
Convective curvature is smaller than it was last night. The moment - accepted.
Scatter data indicates that the convective cluster is near or actually.
West of a developing frontal boundary. Satellite power estimates.
Little has changed since the previous consultation, and
A scatterometer shows winds near 50 kt west of the center. the initial
The intensity remains at 55 kt based on subtropical cyclone intensity.
Estimate from TAFB and the dispersal option.
A subsampling of the maximum wind.
The initial movement is northeast or 040/10 karat. GOES RGB Air Mass The images show a mid to upper level trough extending from the east.
Canada southwest to northeast US, and Josephine should.
Accelerate to the northeast over the next 12-24 hours as this low.
Increases and approaches the cyclone. After about 24 hours, Josephine.
You have to turn further east as it becomes embedded in the middle.
Western latitude. In the forecast course, the Josephine Center.
Will move away from the New England states today and move south.
Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and Saturday. The training is
are again tightly clustered, and the new forecast trajectory is similar to
The previous forecast.
The interaction between Josephine and the aforementioned trough.
Should cause the cyclone to develop fronts and become extratropical.
Over the next 12 hours, and the dispersion figures suggest so.
The process is already underway. However, intensification is expected during this transit and Josephine will become hurricane strength.
Depression is later night and Friday. The dynamic models
It is well agreed that the cyclone should steadily weaken thereafter.
24 hours, and they predicted that Josephine would dissipate between 72 and 96 hours.
As it is absorbed into a new low pressure area that develops into it.
northeast. The new power forecast is mainly based on the global.
Physical models and only have slight adjustments from the previous
forecast. The wind radii predictions were also revised based on.
Global model forecasts.
Since then there have been coastal wind hazards associated with this system.
Covered for the past few days using non-tropical products.
Issued by local National Weather Service offices, these products.
will remain in effect until the threat diminishes and Josephine.
Moving away from the US coast over the next day or so. Forecast locations and maximum winds.
INIT 22/1500Z 39.2N 67.3W 55 KT 65 MPH.
12H 23/0000Z 40.5N 64.6W 65 KT 75 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
24H 23/1200Z 42.3N 60.2W 65 KT 75 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
36H 24/0000Z 43.4N 56.9W 60 KT 70 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
48H 24/1200Z 43.7N 54.3W 55 KT 65 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
60H 25/0000Z 43.9N 50.4W 50 KT 60 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
72H 25/1200Z 43.6N 45.2W 45 KT 50 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
96H 26/1200Z... faded away
The soothsayer in Ben.