000
WTNT45 KNHC 220848.
TCDAT5.
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number 3.
National Hurricane Center NWS Miami FL AL102026.
500 AM AST Thursday, October 22, 2026.
Satellite imagery indicates that there is some renewed convection.
Developed on the northern and western part of Josephine.
Menstruation during the last few hours. Metop-C earlier.
Dispersion passage revealed a large and asymmetric wind field, with
A strip of 45-50 carat winds that wraps around the western side of the .
Circulation and radius of maximum winds near 60 nm. Based on.
These data and trends are fixed objectively and subjectively.
Satellite power estimates, the initial power is kept at 55.
kt.
Josephine headed northeast and has been accelerating ever since.
Prior consultation, with the initial proposal currently being assessed at 040/11.
kt. The cyclone should continue to accelerate toward the northeast and then east-northeast today as a strong upper-level trough digs through.
Towards the southeast from Quebec towards the Canadian seas and.
Northeastern United States. This trough is expected to increase and.
It eventually closed over the North Atlantic early Friday. like.
Josephine becomes embedded within the western midlatitude, the.
The system should turn east on Friday and continue to move east.
During the weekend, much passes south of Newfoundland. the route.
Guidance remains well-grouped, and the latest NHC forecast is.
Very similar to the previous forecast, with a slight turn to the left.
adjustment, reflecting a combination of the GFS and ECMWF models.
Josephine is expected to lose its subtropical characteristics later.
during the day or into the night as it moves across cooler water and interacts.
with the approaching trough at the upper level. However, some additional strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours due to the baroclinics.
processes and positive interaction with the advanced trough as.
The cyclone is accelerating towards the northeast. The NHC forecast continues this way.
It showed Josephine becoming a hurricane-force extratropical cyclone.
within 24 hours. After that a gradual weakening is expected as the system.
moving eastward across the North Atlantic. Global model guidance.
indicating that eventually Josephine should open into a trough.
Absorbed in a larger midlatitude system, with dispersion.
Expected on the 4th. Given Josephine's expected extratropics.
Furthermore, the NHC intensity forecast is slightly above the mix.
of the GFS and ECMWF models.
Since then there have been coastal wind hazards associated with this system.
Covered for the past few days using non-tropical products.
issued by local national weather service firms, these products will remain in force until the threat is reduced and guzpin
Moving away from the US coast over the next day or two.
Forecast Positions and Maximum Winds
INIT 22/0900Z 38.7N 68.3W 55 KT 65 MPH... SUBTROPICAL.
12H 22/1800Z 39.8N 66.4W 60 KT 70 MPH... SUBTROPICAL.
24H 23/0600Z 41.5N 62.2W 70 KT 80 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
36H 23/1800Z 43.2N 58.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/0600Z 43.9N 55.9W 55 KT 65 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
60H 24/1800Z 44.1N 53.4W 50 KT 60 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
72H 25/0600Z 43.8N 48.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 26/0600Z. . . DISAPPEARED
Forecaster Gibbs.