000
WTNT55 KNHC 220258.
TDSAT5.
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number 2.
SNM National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102026.
1100 PM AST Wednesday, October 21, 2026.
The transport associated with Josephine died down tonight. the.
The latest satellite images show shallow convection at
Moderate in strips on the northern and western part of the field.
cycle. Despite its low satellite structure, the
Partial scatter data show that Josephine remained a.
A powerful storm with a large radius of maximum wind and a field of.
Asymmetric wind. A 45-50 carat wind band wraps around the side.
northwest of the system. Since then the whole wind field has not.
In the sample, the initial intensity is kept at the maybe level.
A generous 55 carats for this warning.
Recent satellite fixes indicate that Josephine is indeed moving slowly to the north-northeast (5/015 kt). It is expected that
The storm will accelerate to the northeast and east-northeast tomorrow.
A high-level trough intensifies over the Maritimes.
Canadians and Northeastern United States. Then the download.
Should be trapped in the mid-latitude west and move towards.
The east on Friday and on the weekend, when the center moves.
South of Newfoundland late Friday and Friday morning.
night. The guidance of the trajectory model remains close.
are grouped, and the prognosis of CNH is very similar to its predecessor.
Usually falls between the revised consensus (HCCA) and a.
Simple average of GFS/ECMWF (GFEX) models.
Josephine is unlikely to remain subtropical for long.
time, as the storm will encounter much colder water and
Stronger shear in the next 12-24 hours. However, the
Global models favor short-term strengthening.
driven primarily by baroclinic processes and interaction.
Positive with the arrival of the trough. This forecast shows that.
Josephine will become an extratropical cyclone with a strength of
A hurricane within 24 hours, although it may lose its characteristics.
subtropical even earlier. A gradual weakening is expected.
starting Friday, and the updated forecast shows it.
Josephine will absorb within 96 hours for another discharge.
Large and extratropical over the North Atlantic Ocean. Considering nature.
Subtropical of this storm, the CNH intensity forecast.
Continues to prefer a combination of GFS and ECMWF models.
Since the coastal wind dangers with this system were.
Covered over the past few days by non-tropical products issued by local offices of national service
of meteorology, these products will remain in effect until
The threat diminishes and the system moves away from the sea coast
United States.
Forecast positions and maximum winds
INIT 22/0300Z 37.7N 69.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...SUBTROPICAL
12H 22/1200Z 38.8N 67.9W 60 KT 70 MPH...SUBTROPICAL
24H 23/000Z 40.3N 64.4W 65 KT 75 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
36H 23/1200Z 42.2N 59.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/000Z 43.5N 55.7W 55 KT 65 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
60H 24/1200Z 44.1N 52.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/000Z 44.1N 48.1W 45 KT 50 MPH... POST-TROP/EXTRATROP.
96H 26/0000Z... DisPLATED.
The forecaster Reinhart
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