000
WTNT45 KNHC 220256.
TCDAT5.
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number 2.
National Hurricane Center NWS Miami FL AL102026.
1100 PM AST Wednesday October 21, 2026.
Traffic associated with Josephine has faded this evening. the.
Recent satellite images show shallow to moderate banded convection.
over the northern and western part of the cycle. despite.
Its degraded satellite structure, partial scattering data show.
Josephine is still a powerful storm with a large maximum radius.
Asymmetric wind and wind field. A band of 45-50 carat spirits wraps.
around the northwest side of the system. since the whole field of wind.
Not sampled, the initial intensity is kept in the option.
A generous 55k for this consultation.
Recent satellite fixes indicate that Josephine is now moving slowly.
North-northeast (5/015 carat). The storm is expected to accelerate to the northeast and east-northeast tomorrow as an upper level.
A trough is increasing over the Canadian and Northeast seas.
United States. After that, the low should be caught in the middle of the latitude.
Westerns and move eastward on Friday and into the weekend, with.
The center moves to southern Newfoundland late Friday and.
Friday evening. The track model guidance remains well-grouped,.
And the NHC forecast is very similar to the previous one, in general.
falls between the revised consensus (HCCA) and simple average.
of the GFS/ECMWF (GFEX) models.
Josephine is unlikely to remain subtropical for long since the storm.
Will encounter much cooler water and stronger shear on the next run.
12-24 hours. However, the global models prefer some short term.
Strengthening is mainly driven by baroclinic and positive processes.
Interaction with the approaching trough. This forecast shows Josephine becoming a hurricane-force extratropical cyclone within 24 hours.
Although it may lose subtropical characteristics even earlier.
A gradual weakening is expected starting Friday, and update.
The forecast shows that Josephine is absorbed in 96 hours in a shorter time.
Low tropical over the North Atlantic. Considering the Swede
The nature of this storm, the NHC intensity forecast continues to favor.
COMBINING GFS AND ECMWF MODELS.
Since the coastal wind hazards with this system have been covered.
For the past few days using non-tropical products issued by.
For local National Weather Service offices, these products will remain.
In fact, until the threat is over and the system is moving away
Far from the U.S. coast.
Forecast Positions and Maximum Winds
INIT 22/0300Z 37.7N 69.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...SUBTROPICAL
12H 22/1200Z 38.8N 67.9W 60 KT 70 MPH...SUBTROPICAL
24H 23/0000Z 40.3N 64. 4W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 23/1200Z 42.2N 59.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/0000Z 43.5N 55.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 24/1200Z 44.1N 52.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/0000Z 44.1N 48.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 26/0000Z. . . DISAPPEARED
The forecaster Reinhart