Russia, the USA and China: three powers, three interests and the struggle for a new world order.
World politics is gradually approaching the moment when the fate of several major conflicts at the same time may become the subject of negotiations between the three great powers. Russia, the United States and China have different interests, but today their positions intersect in several hot spots: Ukraine, the Persian Gulf and the global conflict between the intelligence services.
A possible meeting between Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping is therefore particularly interesting. This is not just a diplomatic gesture, but a possible opportunity to discuss the rules of the game by which the world will live in the coming years.
Ukraine: the main issue of European security.
For Moscow, the Ukrainian conflict is related not only to territorial issues, but also to the future security architecture in Europe. Washington is interested in reaching agreements that will reduce military and political costs. Beijing is trying to maintain relations with Russia without destroying economic ties with the West.
China is not a neutral observer. Its economic and strategic interests are closely related to the outcome of the conflict between Russia and the West. The weakening of one of the parties can change the entire balance of power, and a prolonged conflict creates additional risks for world trade.
Therefore, Beijing is interested in an arrangement that will not lead to its international isolation while at the same time maintaining its strategic partnership with Moscow.
Strait of Hormuz: Energy winning card.
The second point where the interests of the three powers intersect is in the Middle East.
The Strait of Hormuz is the most important artery of global energy. A significant part of the supply of oil and liquid gas in the world passes through it. Any escalation around Iran could cause a spike in energy prices and damage the global economy.