Netanyahu's weak election chances on a forecasting website Traders on a forecasting website called Polymarket estimate Benjamin Netanyahu's chances of remaining as Prime Minister of Israel at only 27%; On the other hand, the chance of Gadi Eisenkot, former Chief of Staff of the IDF, increased to 58%. Eisenkot, who served as IDF Chief of Staff from 2015 to 2019, also participated in Netanyahu's war cabinet after the operation on October 7, 2023, but left the government in 2024. He is now the leader of the Ishar party and has emerged as Netanyahu's main opponent. Israelis will go to the polls on Tuesday, October 27.