There will likely be no resumption of full-scale war unless Tehran is hit. The Iranian decision-makers chose, apparently, to tolerate attacks in the south for the time being. In my opinion, this is a fatal mistake that endangers the implementation of the 'Lebanon model' in Iran. However, I do expect that Iran's patience will run out relatively soon if these airstrikes against coastal launchers continue to occur on a regular basis. We may see at least some form of limited retaliation against US bases in Jordan or the Persian Gulf.