Demography is destiny. White Texans' share of the electorate has dropped 12 points since 2020 and are now a 46% minority. But what explains Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, NC and SC? * In Ohio, Vivek deliberately opposed the base. * In Iowa, Ashley Hinson tells young people facing record inflation, skyrocketing housing costs and an abysmal job market to just pull their belts tighter. *In South Carolina, Democrat Annie Andrews defeated Darlene Graham, sister of the late Lindsay Graham who flew to Israel in October 2023 and urged the Israeli military to invade Gaza and "do whatever the hell you have to do to protect yourself. Straighten the place." Republicans failed to deliver legislation to their white base while they had the trifecta. Republicans have taken advantage of their default party loyalty. But they defected. We check the middle results here in the substack or on our website.

Demography is destiny. White Texans' share of the electorate has dropped 12 points since 2020 and are now a 46% minority. But what explains Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, NC and SC? * In Ohio, Vivek deliberately opposed the base. * In Iowa, Ashley Hinson tells young people facing record inflation, skyrocketing housing costs and an abysmal job market to just pull their belts tighter. *In South Carolina, Democrat Annie Andrews defeated Darlene Graham, sister of the late Lindsay Graham who flew to Israel in October 2023 and urged the Israeli military to invade Gaza and "do whatever the hell you have to do to protect yourself. Straighten the place." Republicans failed to deliver legislation to their white base while they had the trifecta. Republicans have taken advantage of their default party loyalty. But they defected. We check the middle results here in the substack or on our website.